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On September 22, Federal Reserve Chairman Mohamed Mussaleem stated on Monday that the Fed may need to further raise interest rates to curb inflation due to strong demand and the impact of commodity prices extending beyond the oil sector. He emphasized that the Fed should act sooner rather than later. Mussaleem stated, “Persistent demand and recurring supply pressures continue to exacerbate inflation risks. I believe that without further policy measures to curb inflation, it is likely that in 18 months, inflation will be significantly higher than our 2% target, rather than reaching it. I believe policy must impose meaningful constraints on inflation. This would allow the Fed to achieve its inflation target in about a year and a half, thus allowing time for tightening to have an impact on the economy.” He added, “Earlier, gradual tightening is more appropriate and less shocking to the economy than later, larger, and potentially more abrupt policy moves.” Mussaleem pointed out that inflation “is not a risk; it already exists,” and even after excluding the effects of oil and other supply-related factors, the underlying inflation rate could still be several percentage points higher than the Fed’s target and is “heading in the wrong direction.”As of the 2:30 closing bell, the main Shanghai gold futures contract fell 0.39%, the main Shanghai silver futures contract fell 0.70%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract fell 2.26%.Federal Reserves Mussalim: Business contacts indicated they plan to raise prices to "close to 3%".Federal Reserve Chairman Mossallem: Rate hikes are best done "earlier and gradually," rather than "delayed and drastic."Federal Reserves Mussalim: The labor market remains stable near full employment and is not a source of inflationary pressures.

The US Stock Markets Continue to Slump

Alina Haynes

Apr 27, 2022 10:07

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 

The S&P 500 has fallen quite a bit in the futures market during the trading session, as it appears as though risk appetite will continue to be quite negative. Naturally, this has a negative impact on the S&P 500 futures market, and it appears as though we are about to test the bottom of the most recent selloff. At this moment, the market is also preparing to create the "death cross," which occurs when the 50 Day EMA falls below the 200 Day EMA. While I am not entirely in favor of this signal, I know that it is an area that many people will focus on, and hence may become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

 

The 4100 level beneath has acted as a temporary support barrier, but I believe it is about to be tested again at this time. It's worth noting that during the previous trading session, we formed a massive hammer, implying that there is some support just below. If we were to breach all of that support, the market would descend into a freefall. This would almost likely attract the attention of the majority of people, and perhaps even spark a bit of panic.

 

At that point, the market would very certainly sell off precipitously. To even begin to seem healthy and like it may be an uptrending market, or simply one with a chance of recovery in general, the market would need to break above the 4400 level. At this time, it appears as though we are in grave danger.