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Conflict Status 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims to have struck a US aircraft carrier and destroyer. 2. Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon have resulted in multiple casualties. 3. Clashes between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels have left at least 117 people dead. Strait of Hormuz 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard released video footage of its actions against vessels violating regulations, claiming that the US escort was a complete lie. 2. Iran says it will declare the Strait of Hormuz a "no-go zone" in the coming days. 3. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: The navigational route map for the Strait of Hormuz agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days. 4. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: Iran will only commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open if the US ceases its threats or attacks. 5. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: 59 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours. Other Matters 1. Iranian military: Has demonstrated a new mode of resistance and will not surrender to the US. 2. Lebanese President: Israels attacks have exceeded the scope of the ceasefire agreement and the framework agreement for national institutions. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Any future actions targeting Iranian interests and security will be met with a "faster, fiercer, and more painful" response. 4. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and eight other countries issued a joint statement condemning Israels statements regarding the expulsion of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. 5. Iranian Foreign Ministry: The US waged war but made the whole world pay the price. 6. Iran will raise gasoline prices for heavy users.September 7th - Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae stated: "The Strait of Hormuz was completely unobstructed until February 28th, when the US and Israel invaded Iran. Washington launched an illegal and barbaric war, disrupting normal commercial shipping; oil tankers stopped sailing, trade was interrupted, and energy prices soared. The US started the war, yet expects the whole world to pay for it, while portraying Iran as the instigator of this chaos. This is utterly absurd."September 7th - According to the Financial Times, citing multiple Western defense and intelligence officials, Europe has failed to effectively deter Russias "hybrid warfare" against the continent and must quickly develop new methods to curb Moscows actions against NATO member states, or risk escalating conflict with the Kremlin. Western officials stated that last months thwarted drone strike on Leipzig/Halle airport, carrying military-grade explosives, highlighted Russias brazenness in its aggressive practices against NATO and the ineffectiveness of existing deterrents. They added that a collective action from European countries is needed to address the issue. A senior Western defense official stated, "It is clear that we are doing far too little to deter provocations that do not violate NATOs Article 5." They added, "The deterrent force we provide is sufficient to prevent Russia from escalating conventional and nuclear warfare. But we really need to rethink our strategy for dealing with hybrid warfare."Ukrainian President Zelensky: We may prefer certain forms of negotiation, but worse is that there are no forms of negotiation at all. I want to thank U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Witkov, and Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, for their roles in restarting the negotiation process today. It is very important that the U.S. team met with the Russian leaders and then with me today to discuss all possibilities. We held trilateral talks with European representatives, as well as a meeting of national security advisors, and I believe we will do everything we can to resume negotiations.Alternative for Germany (AfD) leader Johann Sebastian Weidel: We need to maintain good relations with Russia, and especially with the United States. We are now seeing the US sending representatives to Moscow to mediate between Moscow and Kyiv. This was a role that Germany could have played.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Threatening to Move Higher

Florala Chen

Oct 26, 2022 16:08

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Tuesday's session saw a very minor increase in the price of the S&P 500 E-mini contract as we approached the 50-Day EMA. The market seems to be attempting some kind of breakout as a result, but ultimately I believe this is just a "fade the rally" type of scenario since we are in the middle of earnings season and, quite frankly, most guidance is likely to be at best subpar. The Federal Reserve may reiterate the need to tighten monetary policy in the coming days, but Wall Street gamblers may attempt to push prices higher in the lead-up to the next Federal Reserve meeting in November.


In any case, I'm watching for symptoms of weariness so I can start shorting them, but I haven't exactly seen them. Although I still believe there is significant resistance around the 3900 level and again at the 200-Day EMA, which is slightly over the 4000 level, the market may break above the 50-Day EMA.


I'll be looking to short this market if the daily candlestick moves much to the upside, but for the time being, I believe that trading in this kind of very volatile market is only challenging during the bear market rally.


I'll keep seeing it through that lens because it wouldn't take much to cross the wires and divide the market once again. The greatest method to trade your market is to just wait for an opportunity, since you do sometimes see significant rallies. At the moment, I'm doing just that.