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November 7th - The recent sell-off in longer-term US Treasuries indicates that fiscal issues will be investors primary concern if Trumps tariff policies are rejected, as they worry that rising debt levels will exacerbate the budget deficit. Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, pointed out that the longest end of the US Treasury yield curve has seen the greatest volatility, suggesting that concerns about the fiscal situation are no less significant than those about the Federal Reserves interest rate path. The loss of tariff revenue will reignite the deficit problem. Wednesdays market reaction was more moderate than when the tariffs were introduced at the beginning of the year, as the market anticipated that the government might introduce alternative tariffs. This would limit the size of fiscal stimulus and is unlikely to fully offset the revenue loss. Furthermore, while the direct inflation-boosting effect of tariffs is limited, the recent slight decline in inflation swap rates suggests that investors believe that removing tariffs will still have some effect on curbing inflation.On November 7th, the topic of a Pop Mart livestream incident became the top trending topic. During a Pop Mart livestream, when staff were showcasing a DIMOO keychain blind box priced at 79 yuan, one person blurted out, "Wow, 79 yuan is a bit expensive," to which another responded, "Its okay, someone will buy it." Pop Mart responded to the incident, stating that they are investigating and will not dismiss the employee involved.On November 7th, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a battle report on November 6th, stating that in the "Red Army City" (Pokrovsk in Ukrainian) of the Donetsk region, Russian forces continued their attacks on besieged Ukrainian troops, seizing control of 64 buildings within a 24-hour period and repelling more than ten Ukrainian attempts to break the siege. Furthermore, Russian forces struck Ukrainian targets in 149 areas, including energy and transportation infrastructure, drone storage and launch sites, and temporary deployment points for Ukrainian troops and foreign mercenaries. In one day, they shot down two guided-missile bombs and more than 200 drones, and destroyed more than 10 armored vehicles.Citigroup raised its target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) from HK$45.00 to HK$105.00.Citigroup upgraded Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) from Neutral to Buy.

Stock Markets Continue to Look Volatile to Say the Least

Alice Wang

Jul 28, 2022 14:46

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to our rebound from the 50 Day EMA during the trading session on Wednesday, the S&P 500 has increased slightly. Despite this, there will probably be a lot of loud behavior on the market going forward. Given that the Federal Reserve will be deciding on interest rates at the conclusion of the day, the market is expected to be quite agitated. However, more often than not, it will be the statement that matters rather than the choice of interest rates. It will probably be noisy and disruptive because people will be trying to predict where the Federal Reserve will go in the future.


The market has once again been extremely worried if we were to go down below the 3900 level.


Overall, I believe that this market will be weak going forward, but any rally at this time should be viewed as a significant opportunity. In fact, I wouldn't consider the trend to start changing until we break over the 4200 mark. The market is likely to move significantly higher if we were to break over that level.


The tendency would have shifted at that point. I would expect more noise in this approximate area than anything else. Because the volatility can seriously harm your account, I would also keep my stake size relatively minimal. In all honesty, until we survive the next 24 hours, this may be equivalent to gambling.