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June 11th - Daniela Hathorn, Senior Market Analyst at Capital.com, stated that the market widely expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates at its meeting tonight. The importance of this meeting lies not only in the interest rate decision itself, but also in ECB President Lagardes articulation of future policy direction. The market will closely watch how the ECB defines the June rate adjustment – whether it will be seen as a one-off adjustment or the start of a broader tightening cycle. If the ECB does not rule out further rate hikes, the euro may find support, especially given the markets perception of a more cautious approach from the Federal Reserve. A hawkish stance from the ECB would improve the interest rate differential between the euro and currencies of central banks more cautious in tightening. However, if investors believe that tightening will exacerbate Europes already fragile economic growth prospects, the euros upside potential may be limited.June 11th - TD Securities analysts stated that the European Central Bank (ECB) appears poised to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% due to accelerating inflation and the potential for energy-related pressures to spill over into core and service prices. The market seems to view the June rate hike as not a one-off move, but rather the beginning of a limited tightening policy, with a roughly 65% probability of another rate hike in September and the possibility of action by December already fully priced in. Given the widespread inflation concerns, we believe this view is reasonable: rising energy costs are pushing up overall inflation, and these pressures could ripple through service prices, wages, and expectations. Therefore, if upcoming data confirms that underlying inflation is not easing quickly enough, the likelihood of another rate hike in September is high.Nasdaq 100 futures extended gains to 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.66%, and S&P 500 futures gained 0.74%.German Chancellor Merz: Proposing Ukraines accession to the EU means that Ukraine will participate in EU Council meetings and Ministerial Council meetings, but Ukraine will not have voting rights.Italian Prime Minister: Europe should be prepared to impose new sanctions on Iran if it continues to “go down the wrong path.”

Silver Prices Fall as the Federal Reserve Raise Interest Rates

Alina Haynes

May 05, 2022 11:26

Silver prices maintained their downward trajectory on Wednesday following the Fed meeting. The dollar traded in a range. The Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis-point increase in Fed Funds rates, bringing the cost of borrowing between banks to 75-100 basis points.

 

Where appropriate, rate hikes will continue. On June 1, the Fed will begin reducing its balance sheet. This was a foregone conclusion and is seen as quantitative tightening.

 

The Federal Reserve will initiate a 47 billion dollar balance sheet run-off in three months, followed by a 95 billion dollar run-off in three months. Consumer and business expenditures continue to be robust. Economic activity was almost certainly harmed by the invasion of Ukraine. The Fed stated that the Chinese lockdowns would almost certainly result in more supply chain disruptions.

Technical Evaluation

Silver prices resumed their downward trend on Wednesday. Of the February 2022 lows near $22.00, there is support. Near the 200-day moving average of 23.77, resistance is seen.

 

Prices are oversold, with the fast stochastic reading ten points below the oversold trigger level of twenty. The RSI is currently reading 26, which is less than the oversold trigger level of 30.

 

The medium-term momentum has shifted to the downside, as evidenced by the histogram's negative correlation with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram's trajectory is negative, indicating a downward trend in price movement.

 

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