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The US March seasonally adjusted CPI and core CPI month-on-month rate, the unadjusted CPI and core CPI year-on-year rate, and Canadas March employment figures will be released in ten minutes.Pakistani media confirmed that an Iranian delegation has arrived for negotiations, with key talks between Iran and the United States scheduled for tomorrow.On April 10th, Federal Reserve official Daly stated that the U.S. already had work to do to address inflation before the oil price shock, and now that work simply needs to take longer. If the Iranian conflict is resolved quickly and oil prices fall, a rate cut is "not impossible"; however, if inflation remains higher than expected for an extended period, the Fed will remain on the sidelines until it is confident that the inflation problem has been resolved. She believes that the likelihood of a rate hike is lower than a rate cut or maintaining the current rate. Daly pointed out that persistently high oil prices will mean higher inflation, but will also affect economic growth. She has already seen higher prices transmitted into the economy, with people reducing travel due to concerns about rising costs. However, she emphasized that there is no fundamental price increase at present. She believes it is necessary to observe how the conflict develops and how businesses pass on price increases. She pointed out that the real question is whether the ceasefire can be sustained; if it can, then the CPI data is irrelevant; high inflation data itself will not surprise anyone. She stressed that reducing the inflation rate to 2% is crucial, but doing so at the expense of employment would plunge households into hardship. Currently, the risks to the Fed achieving its full employment and inflation targets are roughly balanced.Federal Reserves Daly: High inflation data will not surprise anyone.Federal Reserves Daly: The real question is whether the ceasefire can last. If it can, then the CPI data is irrelevant.

Silver Prices Dropped Following the Fed's Less Hawkish Announcement

Daniel Rogers

May 06, 2022 10:51

Silver prices decline despite the Fed's less aggressive announcement. The dollar recovered substantially from yesterday's lows. Benchmark yields increased by 50 basis points following the rate hike.

 

Following the FOMC meeting, the ten-year treasury yield increased to 3.09 percent. Gold prices rebound following the Fed's speech, despite selling pressure. Oil prices surged when the EU announced its intention to impose an embargo on Russian oil.

 

European sanctions compensated for the uncertainty surrounding Chinese demand as a result of Covid lockdowns.

 

The FOMC raised rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday, but Fed Chair Powell made it apparent that a 75-basis-point boost at the next meeting was improbable. The dollar weakened as a result of this development, while bond yields extended their advances.

 

Powell, though, indicated that the primary objective is to contain inflation, providing upward momentum for the dollar and rates.

 

Initial unemployment claims increased to 200,000 from 181,000 in the previous week. In the first quarter, productivity declined by 7.5 percent. However, a tightening labor market will maintain a high level of inflation.

Technical Evaluation

Despite the Fed's less aggressive monetary strategy, silver prices plummeted below the $23.00 threshold. Despite the fact that ruling out a 75-basis-point raise reduced precious metals' downside risk, the Fed's goal of containing inflation weighs on silver prices.

 

Sustaining support is located near the February 3rd low of $22.0. Resistance is located near the 23.1 10-day moving average. Short-term momentum is bearish, as the fast stochastic has crossed below the zero line, signaling a sell signal.

 

The medium-term momentum has shifted to the downside, as evidenced by the histogram's negative correlation with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram's trajectory is negative, indicating a downward trend in price movement.

 

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