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Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Overnight, COMEX gold weakened amid fluctuations. After opening today, overseas gold prices rebounded somewhat, with a gain of approximately 0.45% as of this writing. Market sentiment remains volatile. 1. On the policy front, the remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh at his Senate confirmation hearing last night exerted some downward pressure on gold prices. Warsh stated that he is "committed to ensuring that the implementation of monetary policy remains strictly independent," emphasizing that interest rate decisions "must be strictly independent of political considerations," and pointing out that Trump never asked him to commit to rate cuts. The market interpreted this statement as a hawkish signal, coupled with his call for a "new inflation framework and communication method" from the Fed, further strengthening market expectations that monetary policy is unlikely to shift to easing in the short term, thus putting pressure on gold. 2. On the geopolitical front, a dramatic reversal occurred. Earlier today, Trump publicly stated that he did not intend to extend the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran, which expires on the evening of the 22nd, and threatened to resume bombings against Iran after the ceasefire expires, triggering a rise in market risk aversion. However, hours later, Trump announced on social media that, at Pakistans request, he agreed to extend the ceasefire, pending Irans submission of a negotiating proposal. He also instructed the US military to continue its naval blockade of Iran and maintain a state of readiness. This fluctuating stance caused market sentiment to waver. 3. In summary, the obstruction of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed up oil prices and inflation expectations, coupled with persistent expectations of Fed tightening, becoming the core factor suppressing gold prices. The US-Iran negotiations have been repeatedly uncertain, increasing short-term market divergence. Before the negotiations become clearer, traders are advised to control their positions and wait for confirmation of direction. However, given the current US stance of still favoring a negotiated solution, traders may consider buying on dips during periods of volatility.Market news: Japans finance minister will meet with the banking sector to discuss the threat posed by Anthropics Mythos model.On April 22, the highest 7-day annualized yield of Tencent Wealth Managements "Current Account +" was 1.3380%, and the lowest was 0.8440%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of WeChat Pays "Lingqian Tong" was 1.0670%, and the lowest was 1.0030%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of Alipays "Yuebao" was 1.1550%, and the lowest was 1.0000%.Boeing has begun formal certification testing of the engine anti-icing design repair for its 737 MAX series aircraft.Hong Kong-listed AI concept stocks fell in early trading, with Paradigm Intelligence (06682.HK) down 10.38%, Kingsoft Cloud (03896.HK) down 4.67%, and Qunhe Technology (00068.HK) down 2.54%.

S&P 500 Gains Ground As Exxon Mobil Tests All-Time Highs

Jimmy Khan

Nov 08, 2022 16:44

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S&P 500 Advances Before Midterm Elections

As energy stocks rose at the beginning of the week, the S&P 500 gained territory. The heavily weighted NASDAQ Composite in the technology sector traded virtually unchanged today. While Meta kept rising from yearly lows, pressure remained on Apple, Amazon, and Tesla.


Because market players were a little uneasy before the U.S. midterm elections, trading today was turbulent.


From a broad perspective, the market is gradually recovering from the most recent sell-off. It is still unclear whether the outcome of the election will significantly affect market sentiment because Fed policy continues to be the main driver of the S&P 500.


The market is not prepared for a long-lasting rebound, which is why the relative weakness of tech equities is concerning. Energy stocks were the only sector to experience growth over the past three months. There has been impact on other market segments.


The turbulent market behavior will persist if the tech sector continues to be poor and the energy sector is supported. For instance, top oil producers Exxon Mobil and Chevron are currently testing record highs, while Tesla is trading at multi-month lows.

The S&P 500 is headed for resistance at 3805

S&P 500 moved toward the next resistance level at 3805 after clearing the resistance at 3760. If the correct catalysts materialize, there is plenty of potential to increase the upward momentum while the RSI is still in the moderate range.


The S&P 500 will move toward the next resistance level at 3835 if it settles above the resistance at 3805. If this level is successfully tested, the resistance at 3885 will then be tested.


The prior resistance level at 3760 will act as the S&P 500's initial support level on the support side. If the S&P 500 drops below this point, it will move in the direction of support at 3725. If the S&P 500 drops below the 3725 level, it will move in the direction of support at 3690.