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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Downside risks to the US economy are receding.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Uncertainty surrounding the US economy and the impact of tariffs still exist, but are diminishing.On December 25th, demand at the Japanese two-year government bond auction was below the 12-month average, as markets speculated that the Bank of Japan might need to raise interest rates more sharply to control inflation and support the yen. A key indicator of demand, the bid-to-cover ratio for this auction was 3.26, lower than the 12-month average of 3.65. Less than a week earlier, the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to a 30-year high. Governor Kazuo Ueda offered little guidance on the central banks future interest rate path in his post-meeting remarks, leading to a weaker yen and a sharp rise in yields. The yield on two-year government bonds, more sensitive to monetary policy expectations, climbed to its highest level since 1996 earlier this week. Meanwhile, the 10-year breakeven inflation rate (a key indicator of market expectations for future price pressures) jumped to its highest level since 2004 on Monday. Nevertheless, the yens depreciation and rising yields have calmed since Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama warned earlier this week that Japan could "act freely" and take bold action against exchange rate fluctuations that are not in line with fundamentals. Investors will be watching the government bond issuance plan related to the fiscal year 2026 budget, which is expected to be approved by the cabinet on Friday.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds rose 1 basis point to 1.11%.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: I hope that companies will achieve a basic wage increase that exceeds the rate of inflation.

Nasdaq 30% off record

Cory Russell

May 16, 2022 10:53

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Volatility in the financial markets continues to be exceedingly high. Investors are struggling to make sense of all of the central bank rate rises and quantitative tightening, while troubling signals of recession appear every day, exacerbating inflation concerns. As a consequence, they've been selling off all kinds of risky assets in favor of the dollar. European indexes recovered off their lows, boosting US futures and cryptos off their lowest levels, indicating some opportunistic dip buying.


Volatility was prevalent. As the greenback surged to a new multi-decade high versus a basket of other currencies, the Swiss franc reached parity with the US dollar for the first time since 2019. Furthermore, the Nasdaq rebounded from its lowest levels after extending its loss from its all-time high to more than 30%, which was larger than even the March-2020-covid peak percentage fall. Cryptos fell once more, as WTI touched $107. On a micro level, trade in GameStop was suspended after the stock jumped 16 percent throughout the day.


On a macro level, the UK economy showed signs of weakness early this year, with GDP, manufacturing, and industrial output all falling short of expectations, raising worries of a recession.


It's tough to manage the markets at times like these, and traders are willing to grab rapid gains, which is why equities have failed to rebound. However, since the Nasdaq is currently 30% below its all-time highs, there remains a prospect for a bear market bounce, particularly because rates have fallen somewhat in recent trading. But, whatever recovery we get, keep in mind that we're now in a bear market, and rallies are sold into more often than declines are purchased.