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Indonesian President: We are a major exporter of goods, but our export revenue accounts for a very low percentage of our GDP.On May 20th, inflation and fiscal concerns pushed the yield on 30-year Japanese government bonds to a record high, prompting Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) to believe an investment opportunity exists. PIMCOs Chief Investment Officer, Seidner, stated that Japans yield curve is "too steep" compared to other developed markets, highlighting the value of long-term bonds. PIMCO is long on 30-year Japanese government bonds and short on 10-year bonds, betting on a narrowing spread between the two. "The current risk premium is attractive both absolutely and relatively," Seidner said. Japans yield curve is the steepest among developed markets, reflecting market concerns about slow central bank interest rate hikes and long-term fiscal spending. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis call for a supplementary budget has exacerbated these concerns. Data shows that the spread between 10-year and 30-year Japanese government bonds is approximately 130 basis points, lower than the 171 basis points in September, but still significantly higher than the 52 basis points in the US and 67 basis points in the UK. Seidner stated that the spread has begun to narrow, "it has normalized to some extent, but it is still one of the steepest curves globally, so we continue to hold."On May 20, President Xi Jinping held talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. The two heads of state unanimously agreed to extend the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation between China and Russia. Xi Jinping pointed out that 25 years ago, China and Russia signed the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation, establishing in legal form the institutional foundation for long-term good-neighborliness, friendship, and comprehensive strategic cooperation, thus enabling China-Russia relations to achieve leapfrog development. Currently, the international landscape has undergone significant changes, and the world faces the danger of regressing to the law of the jungle. Against this backdrop, the advanced nature, scientific basis, and practical value of the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation between China and Russia are becoming increasingly prominent. China supports the extension of the Treaty and will work with Russia to uphold its spirit and firmly advance the "back-to-back" strategic cooperation between China and Russia.Sources indicate that Japan may launch new Japanese government bonds to attract retail investors.On May 20th, Futures News reported that as of May 19th, the average spot price of #1 lead was 16,275 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period and down 450 yuan/ton year-on-year, a decrease of 2.69%. The recent downward trend in lead prices is mainly due to the following factors: 1. On the demand side, it is still the off-season for consumption, with end-user demand remaining weak. Large downstream enterprises are mainly buying at low prices to meet immediate needs, while the activity of small and medium-sized enterprises in purchasing has declined. 2. From a macro perspective, the change of leadership at the Federal Reserve has increased market concerns about interest rate hikes, leading to a generally cautious market sentiment and a strong desire for safe-haven assets, resulting in a general pullback in non-ferrous metals. However, on the raw material side, the supply of lead concentrate and waste batteries remains relatively tight, providing some support on the cost side. Looking ahead, there are few expectations for improved demand, the market lacks confidence, and there are no significant positive factors to boost prices. Lead prices are expected to remain weak.

Intel Reduces Its Full-year Outlook, And Its Stock Price Recovers

Haiden Holmes

Oct 28, 2022 15:05

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Chipmaker Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) on Thursday decreased its full-year profit and revenue expectations and warned of layoffs, while a stronger-than-expected performance in its personal computers sector contributed to a rise in the stock price.


During after-hours trading, Intel's stock price increased by over 5 percent. They have plummeted over 47% so far this year, underperforming the S&P 500 index and the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index by a wide margin.


Pat Gelsinger, the company's chief executive officer, stated that the reduced expectation for the fourth quarter reflected economic uncertainty that is expected to continue into the following year, and that the company was taking time to ramp up sales into data centers, which fell 27% in the third quarter.


Additionally, Intel lowered its planned capital expenditures for the current fiscal year from $27 billion to $25 billion.


When asked about prospective layoffs, Gelsinger told Reuters that a plan to decrease expenses will involve "people measures." In 2023, Intel plans to lower expenses by $3 billion.


"The proportion of our overall cost structure that corresponds to people-related expenses is small," Gelsinger told Reuters, adding that adjustments to flexible workforces can be made "very fast."


He claimed that the changes would be implemented in the fourth quarter but did not specify the number of workers affected.


End of 2020, Intel had 110,600 people, just before Gelsinger assumed control. This has increased to 131,500 as of the beginning of October this year.

SILVER LINING

Significant for Intel, the future of the PC and data center businesses has been clouded by macroeconomic challenges.


An analyst at Summit Insights Group, Kinngai Chan, observed that Intel's "PC Client category was the silver lining as sequential sales climbed, giving investors hope that share erosion has calmed significantly."


The revenue of Intel's client computing sector, which is responsible for PC sales, climbed from $7.7 billion to $8.1 billion in the third quarter.


Chan remarked, "Next year, we anticipate its data center market share loss to moderate."


Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) reported Thursday profits that fell short of analyst expectations. AWS, the cloud division of the firm, reported a 28% increase in revenue to $20.5 billion. AWS and other cloud service providers are essential for the revenue growth of semiconductor makers, such as Intel.


In the third quarter, Gelsinger announced that Intel lost market share in the data center industry for the third consecutive quarter.


"Our goods were not shipping new stuff like Sapphire Rapids, but now that they are in full production and we're aggressively ramping them, we're better positioned going forward than ever before," he told Reuters, adding that the ramp-up would take many quarters.


He added, however, that Intel's market share in the PC segment climbed "substantially" during the third quarter.


Inflationary pressures have impeded the market for computers and other electronic gadgets, prompting electronics manufacturers to cancel orders for components such as chips as they strive to liquidate their stockpiles.


According to estimates from Counterpoint Research, third-quarter PC shipments declined by 15.5%. Intel anticipated a mid- to high-teens decline in the PC market in 2022.


Gelsinger predicted, though, that Intel's total addressable market - the market it seeks - would reach 270-295 million devices in 2023.


The company now expects yearly revenue to range between $63 billion and $64 billion in 2022, as opposed to the earlier estimate of $65 billion to $68 billion. Its initial estimate was approximately $76 billion. According to data from Refinitiv, analysts predicted yearly revenue of $65,26 billion on average.


Intel reduced their adjusted earnings per share forecast for the entire year from $2.20 to $1.95.