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January 28th - Silver prices continued their upward trend, driven by a weaker dollar. Investors are shifting from sovereign bonds and currency assets to safe-haven hard assets. Saxo Bank analysts stated that gold and silver continued their strong gains as devaluation trades regained focus. Furthermore, the fact that Rick Riddell, a BlackRock executive known for his aggressive interest rate cuts, is considered a leading candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman further reinforces this logic.The Russian Foreign Ministry announced that the two Russian crew members detained on the oil tanker have been released and are en route to Russia.On January 28th, gold prices broke through $5,300 for the first time, accumulating a gain of over 20% year-to-date. The current "confidence crisis" in the US dollar further enhances the attractiveness of gold to overseas investors. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at Oanda, stated that the rise in gold prices stems from its extremely strong indirect negative correlation with the US dollar, as well as Trumps response to the dollar, reflecting a possible consensus within the White House to push for a weaker dollar. Trump also indicated that he would soon announce his nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman and predicted that interest rates would decline after the new chairman takes office. Ilya Spivak, global head of macro at Tastylive, pointed out that given the tension between the Feds responsibilities and the White Houses stance, the market is simply taking a defensive stance ahead of Powells speech today.Chairman of the German Federal Financial Supervisory Authority: There is a high possibility of a sudden correction in the financial markets.Italys Istat consumer confidence index for January was 96.8, below the expected 97 and the previous reading of 96.6.

Gold trading strategy on October 1st: The price of gold may rise further, and you can consider chasing more if it breaks through 1764

Oct 26, 2021 10:57

Spot gold fell slightly on Friday (October 1), and the short-term technical outlook is likely to rise further. However, the price of gold is still in a downward channel. We are concerned about whether it can break through the upper trend line in the day. .


Daily level: The price of gold rebounded sharply on Thursday, and a "bullish engulfing" pattern appeared on the K-line chart, which means that the price of gold may continue to rise in the near future.

From the technical chart, the price of gold rose strongly to the 23.6% retracement level of 1743.94 and the 10-day moving average, and the short-term downward trend was curbed. In addition, KDJ took the lead to form a golden cross, and the MACD green column quickly shortened, showing that the bull energy is accumulating.

The important resistance above is the downward trend line. If the resistance of the trend line can be broken, the price of gold is expected to exit the downward channel. But if it fails to break through, it implies that the price of gold will continue to fall back. Investors are advised to wait and see for the time being.

The initial resistance above the trend line is at 1764, and further attention is paid to the 38.2% retracement level of 1777.03 and the July 23 low of 1790.26.

The initial support below focuses on the 23.6% retracement level of 1743.94, and further attention to the low of 1721.76 on September 29 and the low of 1705.89 on April 1.

(Spot gold daily chart)

Resistance levels: 1764.00; 1777.03; 1790.26
Support levels: 1743.94; 1721.76; 1705.89

Short-term operation suggestions: wait and see for now, break through 1764 to chase more.

GMT+8 13:51, spot gold was quoted at $1751.53 per ounce.