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U.S. Central Command: There are currently more than 50,000 U.S. troops deployed in the Middle East, maintaining a high level of vigilance and ready to fight at any time.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said on the 30th that the Kumamoto earthquake has resulted in 28 deaths.On July 30th, Philip Wee, Senior FX Strategist at DBS Group Research, commented that the US dollar may be dragged down by the divergence in forward guidance between the Federal Reserve and other central banks. By removing forward guidance and keeping interest rates unchanged, Fed Chairman Warsh has led the Fed into a monetary "mirror maze," resulting in volatility. Warsh has left the US market "groping in the dark." In contrast, the European Central Bank has been more unified in hinting at a September rate hike, giving the euro a clear comparative advantage. If the Bank of England breaks the general consensus of holding rates steady and unexpectedly raises rates later today, the pound is expected to appreciate.Hong Kong Monetary Authority: The Federal Reserves decision to keep interest rates unchanged was in line with market expectations, and Hong Kongs monetary and financial markets are operating in an orderly manner.On July 30, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) issued a statement saying that the Federal Reserves decision to maintain interest rates was in line with market expectations. The statement released after the meeting indicated that the economy continued to grow and the labor market remained stable, but inflation remained at a high level, reflecting the Committees concern about the inflation outlook. In Hong Kong, the money and financial markets continued to operate smoothly. Under the linked exchange rate system, Hong Kong dollar interbank rates generally converge with US dollar interest rates, while shorter-term interbank rates are also affected by the supply and demand of Hong Kong dollar funds in the local market, such as seasonal factors and capital market activity. Changes in US interest rates will depend on inflation trends, the labor market situation, and other economic data, which will also affect Hong Kongs interest rate environment. Citizens need to fully consider and manage interest rate risks when making decisions regarding property purchases, investments, or borrowing. The HKMA will continue to closely monitor market changes and maintain monetary and financial stability.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD recovers within the weekly bearish trend, Covid; Treasury yields in focus

Daniel Rogers

Nov 22, 2022 14:56

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Early Tuesday morning, the gold price (XAU/USD) reaches $1,745 for the first daily increase in four. In doing so, the precious metal applauds the wide US Dollar decline during a likely sluggish day preceding Wednesday's crucial data/events.

 

Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) falls intraday by 0.25 percent to 107.55, halting a three-day rally. Recent challenges to the hawkish concerns surrounding the US Federal Reserve are reflected in the dollar's metric, which tracks US Treasury yields (Fed).

 

The US 10-year Treasury yields decline for the first time in four days, falling one basis point to around 3.81% as of press time, as the most recent remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) members fail to buttress the previously hawkish attitude.

 

In a CNBC interview, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated, "I think we can ease down from 75 in the December meeting." Previously, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic rejected the 75 basis point move and challenged the DXY bulls. In addition, October readings of -0.05 for the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, compared to the prior reading of 0.17, posed a challenge to US Dollar bulls.

 

On the other hand, a seven-month high in daily coronavirus cases from China rekindled fears of a supply bottleneck and gave US Dollar purchasers optimism ahead of tomorrow's preliminary monthly activity data and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.

 

In addition, the most recent articles from Nikkei Asia imply that China is likely hoarding the metal while selling US Treasury bonds, which gives buyers of gold reason for optimism.