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The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization stated that, as part of three ongoing proposals to manage Irans gasoline supply, Iran is considering a proposal to allocate 30 liters of gasoline per person per month, with the quota being transferable and tradable.August 16th - Next week, UK consumer prices will be the focus of media attention, while the shortage of AI-powered memory chips and rising energy costs are keeping the Bank of England on high alert. Data to be released on Wednesday is expected to show inflation accelerating for the first time in four months, with a survey of economists showing a median forecast of a 2.9% jump in July. This marks the beginning of an upward trend expected to continue into the second half of the year, ending a period of positive news regarding price pressures. As the impact of the Iran war on prices becomes increasingly apparent – especially given the still strong economic performance – this data could further unsettle Bank of England policymakers. While the inflation outlook is largely dependent on developments in the Middle East, artificial intelligence is emerging as a potential "dark horse." The Bank of England has warned that the rapid expansion of AI computing power is driving up the cost of memory chips used in mobile phones, laptops, and game consoles. Data from the British Retail Consortium in July indicates that rising chip costs are being passed on to the prices of electronic products.OpenAI Codex Product Manager: Let Sol manage a high-performing team of Luna agents for you. These models know each other very well and can work together to achieve goals with amazing speed and efficiency.Market sources say that some units at the Libyan power company have stopped operating after the explosion.On August 16th, ahead of Nvidias (NVDA.O) highly anticipated $500 billion financing deal this week, investors were already concerned about approximately $70 billion in "shadow liabilities" that werent on the balance sheets of major AI companies but could surface in the worst-case scenario. With Nvidias latest move, the company may be providing tens of billions of dollars in so-called "residual value support" for debt transactions related to AI infrastructure development—essentially using its high credit rating to help control customers financing costs. With computing power demand surging, such guarantees are practically a "free lunch" for giants like Nvidia and Broadcom: they can expand sales to customers and AI companies without having to include the related debt on their balance sheets. These arrangements typically involve multiple stages: a special purpose entity borrows to purchase chips, the loan supported by cash flow generated from contracts with companies that will use the technology in the future. If the company stops making payments, the assets are re-leased or sold to repay the remaining debt. If a funding gap still exists, the guarantor makes up the difference. Theoretically, this process carries extremely low risk. However, some havent fully grasped this logic. DoubleLine portfolio manager Mariya Entina stated, "Its like playing the rules; youre trying to get special treatment from rating agencies to get the highest possible rating. Were entering an era of financial engineering. Thats one of my concerns: when financial engineering prevails, the true financial situation gets obscured."

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD Retraces to $1,800 Prior to US NFP

Alina Haynes

Dec 02, 2022 15:36

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Gold price (XAU/USD) replicates the traditional pre-NFP consolidation pattern as it falls from a four-month high to $1,780 on Friday morning. Consequently, the yellow metal records its first daily loss in four days amid cautious market conditions.

 

Amid sluggish trading hours, recent comments from International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva seems to have weighed on the XAU/USD bulls in addition to the apprehension around the release of vital US job statistics. "Recession risks are rising for many countries, and the outlook for global growth is extraordinarily uncertain and dominated by risks," stated Georgieva of the IMF.

 

In addition, concerns regarding the deceleration of the Initial Public Offering (IPO) markets may have contributed to the Gold price decline. "A global slowdown in initial public offerings owing to increased market volatility and a regulatory cloud over fresh listings from China has produced pent-up demand that could lead to an IPO boom in 2023," according to industry experts speaking at the Reuters NEXT conference.

 

In addition, the recent comments from New York Fed's John Williams appeared to have tested US Dollar bears and helped Gold sellers, as the policymakers stated that the Fed has more rate hikes to implement.

 

S&P 500 Futures fall 0.30 percent intraday to 4,070, although US 10-year Treasury yields rebounded from a 10-week low to reach 3.53 percent as of press time.

 

Notably, the dovish fears regarding the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move, supported by the gloomy Fedspeak and softer US statistics, appear to keep gold bears optimistic ahead of the US jobs report. Forecasts indicate that headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will likely decrease to 200K from 261K previously, while the unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 3.7%. It should be noted that a probable decrease in Average Hourly Earnings for the month in question could also weigh on the Gold price.