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January 12th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices fell during the session, with the market exhibiting volatile trading as it digests the clearly overbought condition on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), especially given the negative signals from related indicators. Currently, prices are accumulating bullish momentum, which may help prices rise again. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures remain under dynamic support, with prices trading above the 50-day EMA, further enhancing the likelihood of a price rebound in the near future.January 12th - According to sources, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Jerry Pulte was a key figure behind the Trump administrations decision to subpoena the Federal Reserve. Some sources indicated that some of Trumps allies were concerned about the move, fearing that the legal action against Fed Chairman Jerome Powell would disrupt the bond market. They also worried that it would prevent Powell from leaving the Fed after his term expires in May. Powell could continue serving as a Fed governor until 2028, but he has not indicated whether he will leave as is customary. Some sources said that some of Trumps senior aides were only informed of the subpoena on Friday night when Powell received it.On January 12th, Google announced on the 11th that it will partner with major retailers such as Walmart to expand the shopping functionality of its Gemini AI model, upgrading the Gemini app from a "smart assistant" to a "virtual merchant" capable of directly completing transactions. The Gemini app will introduce an "instant checkout" feature, allowing consumers to purchase goods from select merchants within the chat interface, without needing to open any external interface. Walmarts incoming president and CEO, John Furner, stated that the shift from traditional web or app search to "agent-driven commerce" represents the next major evolution in the retail industry. Industry insiders believe that the application of AI in e-commerce and its impact on consumer behavior will be a key focus of the conference. Google stated that the shopping functionality of the Gemini AI model will initially be available only to US users, but will expand to international markets in the coming months.On January 12, Clover Biotech (02197.HK) announced that its Pre-F trimeric subunit recombinant protein respiratory combination vaccine candidates SCB-1022 (RSV+hMPV) and SCB-1033 (RSV+hMPV+PIV3), developed based on the companys self-developed Trimer-Tag vaccine R&D platform, have completed the first batch of subject enrollment in Australia and officially started Phase 2 clinical trials.On January 12th, Citigroup pointed out that Indonesias fiscal deficit this year may far exceed the statutory limit, as the government increases spending on the nationwide free meal program and reconstruction projects in flood-stricken provinces of Sumatra. In a report on Monday, Citigroup economist Helmi Arman revised his 2026 budget deficit as a percentage of GDP upward to 3.5% from the initial 2.7%. Citigroups base case assumption is that the government will amend the National Fiscal Law by the second half of this year to relax the long-standing 3% fiscal deficit cap. Arman stated that if the authorities choose to significantly cut spending to maintain fiscal discipline, they may avoid exceeding the limit. He predicts that by 2029, Indonesias debt-to-GDP ratio will rise from approximately 39% in 2025 to 42%.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD struggles around $1,800 ahead of ISM Services PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Dec 05, 2022 12:04

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In the early Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is under intense pressure to overcome the round-level barrier of $1,800.00. The precious metal is highly projected to display additional gains ahead and may extend towards a fresh three-month high at $1,824.63 as the bullish US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) failed to fade the risk appetite theme.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is seeking to re-test the previous week's low around 104.40 as market investors believe that good employment growth in November is inadequate to offset forecasts of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike pace (Fed). In addition, rates on 10-year US Treasuries have fallen further below 3.50 percent and are receiving no intermediate buffer.

 

Monday's publication of United States ISM Services data is the economic indicator that investors are anticipating for additional guidance. The expected economic data is 55.6, up from 54.4 in the previous release. Apart from that, the catalyst which will effect Gold prices is the ISM Services New Orders Index data. The economic statistics is anticipated to rise to 58.5, which shows healthy demand from households and may provide a cushion against future inflation.

 

After a drop to roughly its November 15 high of $1,777.32, the hourly demand for gold has increased significantly. The yellow metal is aiming for a three-month high of approximately $1,805.00. The Gold price has surpassed the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,795.90 after sensing support from the 50-period EMA near $1,790.00, indicating a shift in the short-term trend toward the upside.