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On September 13, Robert Kaplan, vice president of Goldman Sachs Group, said that investors are beginning to question whether they have invested too much money in the United States, and more and more financial institutions are looking to Europe and Asia for growth opportunities. Kaplan said on Friday that some investors are considering whether they should start hedging the US dollar to protect against exchange rate fluctuations. "What has happened since January is that people are still optimistic about the United States, but they are starting to say: I think our allocation to the United States is too high." Kaplan said. "We are having hedging conversations with people around the world, and some of them have never hedged the US dollar in the past 15 years." Kaplan pointed out that although investors still regard the United States as a safe haven for funds, "they have a little more confusion about the US institutional framework."Russian Ministry of Defense: Air defense systems shot down 42 Ukrainian drones in the early hours of Saturday morning.1. The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.59%, the S&P 500 down 0.05%, and the Nasdaq up 0.44%, hitting new all-time highs. Merck and Sherwin-Williams fell over 2%, leading the Dow lower. The Wind S7 Index rose 1.14%, with Tesla up over 7% and Apple up over 1%. Chinese concept stocks saw mixed results, with JinkoSolar up over 6% and Douyu down over 4%. 2. U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield up 0.99 basis points to 3.549%, the 3-year Treasury yield up 1.94 basis points to 3.527%, the 5-year Treasury yield up 3.81 basis points to 3.633%, the 10-year Treasury yield up 4.57 basis points to 4.070%, and the 30-year Treasury yield up 2.69 basis points to 4.681%. 3. International precious metal futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.19% to $3,680.70 per ounce, a weekly gain of 0.75%. COMEX silver futures rose 1.26% to $42.68 per ounce, a weekly gain of 2.71%. 4. International oil prices rose slightly. The main contract for US crude oil closed up 0.37% at $62.60 per barrel, a weekly gain of 1.18%. The main contract for Brent crude oil rose 0.77% to $66.88 per barrel, a weekly gain of 2.11%. 5. London base metals rose across the board, with LME zinc futures up 1.93% at $2,956.00/ton, up 3.32% for the week; LME nickel futures up 1.52% at $15,380.00/ton, up 0.95% for the week; LME lead futures up 1.13% at $2,019.00/ton, up 1.71% for the week; LME aluminum futures up 1.03% at $2,701.00/ton, up 3.86% for the week; LME tin futures up 0.74% at $34,955.00/ton, up 1.87% for the week; and LME copper futures up 0.13% at $10,064.50/ton, up 1.69% for the week.According to Sky News: BlackRock (BLK.N) will invest 500 million pounds in British data centers during Trumps visit.According to the Financial Times: Nestlé shareholders have called for the chairman to resign due to executive turmoil.

GBP/JPY Surpasses 161.00 Due to Firmer Rates, Discussions of UK Tax Cuts, and Concentration on BoE

Daniel Rogers

Jan 30, 2023 15:32

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GBP/JPY demonstrates moderate gains near 161.00 as it reflects the market's cautious disposition at the beginning of a key week that includes multiple monetary policy meetings and important data. Despite this, the cross-currency pair sustains its two-week recovery on the back of rising US Treasury bond yields and hawkish Bank of England forecasts (BoE).

 

Despite a tiny bid at press time, 10-year US Treasury rates remain uninspired about 3.51% after reversing a two-week decline last Friday. Concerns surrounding the Bank of England's 0.50 percentage point interest rate increase to contain inflation appear to keep GBP/JPY purchasers optimistic.

 

Notably, concerns regarding the United Kingdom's opposition to tax cuts appear to help the pair's upward momentum. Reuters quotes British finance minister Jeremy Hunt as saying on Friday that he plans to prioritize corporate tax cuts whenever public finances permit.

 

GBP/JPY sellers, on the other hand, are hopeful due to the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) continuing efforts to defend the Yield Curve Control (YCC) with recently higher inflation data from Tokyo. Japan's foundations may be on par with those of the United Kingdom, despite the former's greater stability.

 

The GBP/JPY exchange rate may experience a short-term rebound in the near future as a result of cautious optimism on the market and reduced fears of UK worker strikes. Nonetheless, the Bank of England's (BoE) rate hike and efforts to limit inflation without harming productivity will draw considerable attention.