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August 28th - According to the Associated Press, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh said on Friday that inflation remains too high. He hinted that the central bank may need to raise interest rates in the coming months to reduce inflation. This statement more clearly reflects his view on the economic situation than his previous remarks. In a prepared speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Warsh acknowledged that recent inflation data indicated a slowdown in inflation, but "these data do not suggest a significant improvement in the overall trend." "We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward the target, or there is still a lot of work to be done." On Friday, Warsh remained skeptical of forward guidance and even declined to reveal his overall thinking on interest rate policy. However, he did point out that current interest rate levels are not hindering economic activity.On August 28th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated on Friday that if policymakers are not confident that inflation is falling back to 2% "at a clear and sufficiently fast pace," the Fed "still has work to do." This suggests that if price pressures do not improve, the Fed may raise interest rates next. Warsh explicitly stated that he still adheres to the Feds long-standing policy path of managing inflation by adjusting interest rates. This significantly increases the likelihood of a further rate hike by the Fed, which could potentially create a rift with President Trump, who has long sought rate cuts. This statement essentially eliminates the ambiguity previously left. At a press conference at the end of July, Warsh declined to comment extensively on whether a rate hike was needed to address the sharp rise in inflation this year, which has been above the Feds target for more than five consecutive years.The main liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) contract rose by 2.00% during the day, currently trading at 5883.00 yuan/ton.New York gold futures fell below $4,600 per ounce, down 1.21% on the day.On August 28th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned that inflation has not shown a meaningful slowdown, stating that policymakers must be confident that inflation is moving in the right direction, otherwise the central bank "has more work to do." Warsh reiterated that the Fed will bring the inflation rate back to its 2% target. He stated that this is a clear and fixed target. Warsh said, "My standard is that we must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward our target, and the pace must be clear enough and fast enough. Otherwise, we have more work to do. Thats our responsibility." Warsh also stated that current financial conditions are not restrictive, and interest rates are the Feds "primary tool" for fulfilling its mandate.

G7 Implements Oil Price Cap; Russia Must Sell at Market Prices

Haiden Holmes

Dec 05, 2022 14:04

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The Group of Seven price cap on Russian seaborne oil went into effect on Monday, as the West attempts to limit Moscow's ability to finance its battle in Ukraine. However, Russia has said that it will not comply with the policy, even if it means reducing production.


The price cap, which will be applied by the G7, the EU, and Australia, is in addition to the EU's prohibition on imports of Russian crude by sea and similar agreements by the United States, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom.


It permits the transfer of Russian oil to third parties via G7 and EU tankers, insurance companies, and financial institutions, but only if the cargo is purchased at or below the price cap.


Given that the world's biggest transportation and insurance firms are situated in G7 countries, the cap could make it difficult for Moscow to sell its oil at a higher price.


Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter, stated on Sunday that it would not accept the restriction and would not sell oil subject to it, even if it meant reducing production.


Since Soviet geologists discovered oil and gas in Siberian wetlands in the decades following World War II, oil and gas exports to Europe have been one of Russia's key sources of foreign currency earnings.


Due to the sensitivity of the issue, a person who requested anonymity told Reuters that a regulation was being developed to prohibit Russian businesses and dealers from cooperating with nations and businesses covered by the cap.


A edict of this type would essentially outlaw the export of oil and petroleum products to nations and businesses that use it.


With the price ceiling set at $60 per barrel, which is not too far below Friday's closing price of $67, the EU and G7 countries predict that Russia will continue to have a motivation to sell oil at this price, albeit for decreased profits.


Every two months, the EU and G7 will review the level of the cap, with the first review occurring in mid-January.


The European Commission noted in a statement that this evaluation should take into account "the efficacy of the measure, its implementation, international adherence and alignment, the potential impact on coalition members and partners, and market developments."


The crude oil cap will be followed on February 5 by a similar step affecting Russian petroleum products, the number of which has not yet been determined.