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U.S. federal funds rate futures fell further, suggesting that the probability of a Fed rate hike in September is about 80%.① Iran 1. According to Axios: The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament stated that there are also divisions within the United States, with Rubio taking one approach and Vance taking another. 2. According to Irans Press TV: Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi and French Foreign Minister Barro discussed recent regional and international developments by phone, focusing on the implementation of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and efforts to end the war against Iran. 3. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: There are no plans to meet with the US in the next few days. 4. Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: A third war imposed on Iran would be considered a full-scale aggression against the country. 5. Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: Uranium enrichment rights are a core component of Irans national strength that cannot be compromised. Irans missile capabilities and its relationship with regional "resistance groups" are not within the scope of any negotiations and are non-negotiable matters. 6. Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: Oil sanctions against Iran have been lifted. Iran is currently selling crude oil at a premium of about 20% higher than before. ② United States 1. US Vice President Vance: The United States hopes to reach a sustainable and verifiable commitment, and to guarantee it through on-site verification. 1. The goal is to ensure the complete denuclearization of Iran. 2. US Vice President Vance: US President Trump is willing to use military force, but only if it serves a clear strategic objective. ③ Israel 1. Israeli Prime Minister: Israel and Lebanon agree that Hezbollah and Iran must leave. 2. According to Israeli media: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Katz visited the security zone in southern Lebanon. 3. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: More peace agreements are on the agenda. 4. Lebanese leaders discussed the role of the countrys army in the Lebanon-Israel agreement. 5. According to Kann News: Israeli security officials said there is no clear timetable at present. The withdrawal will happen, but it must be done in an "appropriate manner". ④ US-Iran Negotiations 1. Trump said the US and Iran will meet in Doha today. 2. US media said US Presidential Envoy Witkov is heading to Doha. 3. US media: Internal divisions in Iran are jeopardizing peace negotiations, with civilian leaders seeking to unfreeze billions of dollars in assets, while hardline military officials are vying for control of the Strait of Hormuz. 4. According to Irans SNN news agency: A spokesperson for the Qatari Foreign Ministry stated that communication channels have been established to release Iranian funds. 5. Iran: The commencement of final agreement negotiations depends on the implementation of the memorandum of understanding. 6. Qatar stated that a US special envoy has arrived in Doha but will not meet with Iranian officials. 7. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: Iran will not engage in further negotiations until the conditions in the memorandum of understanding are met. If the other side does not fulfill the agreement, we are prepared to respond to war. ⑤ Strait of Hormuz 1. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency: Irans Deputy Foreign Minister in charge of legal and international affairs has traveled to Oman to attend the first meeting of the Joint Commission on the Strait of Hormuz to discuss the future management of this strategic waterway. 2. Oman has reportedly submitted a proposal for toll collection in the Strait of Hormuz, emphasizing voluntary donations, while Iran insists it is "mandatory." 3. Spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iran is determined to safeguard its rights to manage the Strait of Hormuz. 4. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: Sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz belongs to both Iran and Oman. Arrangements for passage through the strait will be determined by Iran. Meanwhile, Iran will consult with Persian Gulf littoral states regarding passage. ⑥ Other situations: 1. Israeli media: The US is pressuring Israel to avoid restarting the Gaza war and to begin reconstruction. 2. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson: Irans oil and petrochemical product sales have been "greatly facilitated." 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Since the lifting of the blockade, Iran has exported more than 40 million barrels of oil. If the US attempts to deprive Iran of its right to sell oil, then "no one will benefit from oil." 4. Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesperson: The $6 billion in frozen Iranian funds has not yet been transferred to Iran; these funds are bound by the 2023 agreement and are designated for the purchase of humanitarian aid. 5. Iraqi Prime Minister: There is no evidence that recent attacks against Gulf states originated in Iraq. We will not accept instructions from abroad, whether from the East or the West. 6. Iranian Parliament Speaker: A joint committee involving Iran, the US, and Lebanon will be established to promote the implementation of Lebanese sovereignty and the ceasefire; Iranian representatives abroad will participate in this mechanism. 7. U.S. Vice President Vance: If the Lebanon-Israel peace arrangement is coordinated with the U.S.-Iran agreement, the core content of both emphasizes respect for Lebanons territorial integrity.Google (GOOG.O): Released Gemini Spark for macOS and expanded application integration.On July 1st, Michael Burry, the real-life inspiration for the film "The Big Short," revealed a new round of bearish bets, establishing short positions in the artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors. He stated that he had shorted Tesla (TSLA.O) stock at approximately $416.22, claiming it was part of his assessment of an "AI bubble." He also established short positions in Nvidia (NVDA.O), Caterpillar, Applied Materials, and a semiconductor ETF. Burry stated in his post that these trades were part of his overall hedging strategy against the overvaluation of AI and semiconductors, but did not disclose the specific size, only stating that he entered the short position after Teslas rebound. Market sentiment was divided, with related tech stocks generally rising during the session.According to President Trumps 2025 financial report, he plans to purchase at least $100,001 worth of Palantir (PLTR.N) stock.

Fed Statements Restrict Gold Price Increases After A Fall

Haiden Holmes

Nov 22, 2022 14:55

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On Tuesday, gold prices rose, but remained at two-week lows as hawkish comments from some Federal Reserve members strengthened the dollar, while platinum prices jumped in anticipation of a potential supply shortage next year.


On Monday, metal markets fell in tandem with other asset classes as investors panicked about the possibility of a worldwide recession caused by increasing interest rates. Moreover, fears over future COVID-related restrictions reduced mood. However, this allowed for the discounted purchase of certain metals.


Spot gold jumped 0.3% to $1,740.98 per ounce around 20:25 E.T., while gold futures advanced 0.1% to $1,742.50 per ounce (01:25 GMT). Monday showed a roughly 0.8% decrease for both assets.


Monday, Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, noted that there was more work to be done to tighten monetary policy and decrease inflation, and that the real-world impact of recent rate rises will likely be more than implied by the short-term target rate.


Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, has suggested that she supports a smaller rate hike in December, in keeping with market expectations for a 50 basis point basis point increase.


However, both Fed governors indicated that future rate increases will be substantially dependent on U.S. economic data, particularly the inflation trajectory.


As the prospective cost of holding non-yielding assets surged this year, a series of sudden interest rate rises had a disproportionately negative effect on metal markets.


In recent weeks, as markets have braced for a smaller rate rise in December, gold's 2017 losses have been significantly reduced. However, given that inflation is far above the Fed's 2% target, investors are also assessing the possibility that the central bank may continue to hike interest rates for a much longer amount of time than expected.


This situation is negative for gold and the whole metals market. The release of the Federal Reserve's November meeting minutes on Thursday will give fresh insight into U.S. monetary policy.


After the World Platinum Investment Council declared on Tuesday that it expected a shortage of the metal in 2023, the price of platinum futures rose by around 1 percent.


The valuable metal serves a variety of purposes, including automotive exhausts, industrial applications, and jewelry.


Among industrial metals, copper prices rose on Tuesday, following recent severe losses.


Tuesday's 0.8% climb to $3.6075 per pound in copper futures followed Monday's 1.6% fall. New COVID lockdowns in China have significantly lowered the outlook for the red metal, which is anticipated to weigh on demand.