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June 16 – A press conference for the 17th Annual Meeting of the New Champions of the World Economic Forum, also known as the Summer Davos Forum, will be held in Beijing today. The 2026 Summer Davos Forum is scheduled to be held in Dalian, Liaoning Province, from June 23 to 25. Participants come from more than 90 countries and regions worldwide, with total registered participants exceeding 1,700, setting a new record. The forum, themed "Innovation at Scale," will focus on a series of topics related to global innovation trends and industrial transformation and upgrading, gathering wisdom from various sectors to inject momentum into promoting global economic recovery and sustained growth.1. Interest Rate Adjustment – The market widely expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1%, the highest level in 31 years. The Bank of Japans last rate hike will be in December 2025. 2. Voting Participation – The governor was absent due to illness, and only 8 people voted at this meeting. In the event of a 4-4 tie, Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino, who chaired the meeting, will have the decisive vote. 3. Voting Ratio – The market widely expects all voting members to support the rate hike; however, Toshiro Asada, who holds a reflationary stance, may not support the rate hike, and some may propose a 50 basis point increase. 4. Forward Guidance – The market is focused on whether the Bank of Japan will adjust its forward guidance. The current wording is "Given that real interest rates are at a significantly low level, the central bank will continue to raise interest rates and adjust the degree of monetary easing." 5. Cessation of QT – Japanese media reports that the Bank of Japan will announce that it will stop reducing the monthly bond purchase program starting next April. This move may be seen as a "political deal with the government" and will affect the Bank of Japans independence. 6. Press Conference – The Bank of Japan Governor was absent due to illness, and Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida held a press conference on his behalf. The market is focused on whether Uchida will hint at a possible second consecutive interest rate hike in July and his views on bond-buying policy.Chinas May industrial value-added and total retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year figures will be released in ten minutes.June 16th - Today, the Ministry of Finance issued the third tranche of RMB treasury bonds for 2026 in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, with an issuance size of RMB 15 billion. Following this issuance, the total amount of RMB treasury bonds issued by the Ministry of Finance in Hong Kong this year will reach RMB 44.5 billion. Looking at the overall issuance plan for this year, with the approval of the State Council, the Ministry of Finance will issue RMB 84 billion of RMB treasury bonds in Hong Kong in six tranches this year.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.6% month-on-month in May (up 0.3% in the previous month) and fell 5.5% year-on-year (down 6.5% in the previous month).

Cryptoverse: Electric ether leaps on verge of Merge

Jimmy Khan

Aug 16, 2022 14:40

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The "Merge" is very probable to occur in September after years of delays, with the blockchain's underlying encryption undergoing a major change to a system where the production of new ether tokens becomes far less energy-intensive.


The ethereum ecosystem is experiencing exciting times, according to Omar Syed, co-founder of the smart contract platform Shardeum. Although I anticipate some controversy around the Merge, I don't anticipate any technical difficulties.


According to investors, ether is outperforming big brother bitcoin.


Even though it's far off its November 2021 record of $4,868.79, Ether has witnessed increases for six straight weeks, taking it up from a 1-1/2-year low of $880 in mid-June to values around $2,000 at this point.


Comparatively speaking, Bitcoin has been insignificant, rising 37% from its June low to $24,116.


Ether is eroding giant bitcoin's market share: according to CoinMarketCap, it now represents almost a fifth, or 19.7%, of the overall cryptocurrency market value of $1.14 trillion, up from less than 14.9% two months ago. The percentage of bitcoin has decreased during the same time period, from 44.9% to 40.2%.


According to Alex Miller, CEO of Hiro, which develops developer tools to create apps for bitcoin, "Crypto is still extremely closely tied, and I believe when the Merge successfully completes it might push up the price of bitcoin as well."


If Ethereum's developers are successful, as is widely anticipated, it might revolutionize the blockchain by making it easier to use and more affordable to mine for fintech and other cryptocurrency businesses.


Of course, there are many uncertainties surrounding the illusive shift, which has been postponed multiple times. Most recently, engineers abandoned plans to activate the switch in June, which alarmed investors who started to worry that it would never happen.


The Merge is also risky, and should it fail, the fate of the about 122 million ether in circulation, valued at nearly $232 billion, might be at jeopardy.


According to Miller of Hiro, if the update fails, it would "reset the whole crypto industry back five or ten years."

Intricate bomb

The proof-of-work (PoW) technique of verifying blocks is presently used by the Ethereum blockchain. Miners employ enormous amounts of power to swiftly solve challenging computational challenges in order to earn freshly generated currency.


A proof-of-stake (PoS) system, which only needs miners to "stake" their currencies to confirm transactions and produce new blocks, has been tested by Ethereum on a separate chain. It guarantees a 99.99% decrease in the energy used by the blockchain and primes it for quicker transactions.


The impending merging of the two networks hasn't gone down well with everyone, especially ether miners whose pricey mining equipment will become outdated and useless for mining bitcoin.


Mining ether has historically been more lucrative than mining bitcoin. According to Arcane Research, ethereum miners earned $18 billion in 2021 compared to bitcoin miners' $17 billion.


Some miners have made the decision to switch to mining the tokens ethereum classic or ravencoin, which are currently the best alternative.


The possibility that some individuals would continue to operate the PoW chain after the merging in order to compete with the upgraded blockchain is raised by the announcement by at least one miner that they want to resist and continue mining Ethereum.


That choice, however, has drawbacks.


The "difficulty bomb" that Ethereum's developers have created would dramatically raise mining difficulty, discouraging the PoW parallel chain after the Merge.


The chance of a greater acceptance of the parallel PoW chain is further decreased since the two biggest stablecoins, Tether and USDC, have backed the Merge.

Bubble futures

According to Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at Galaxy Digital, "the chances of Ethereum experiencing a long-lasting chain split after the Merge remain remote."


However, positioning in the futures market suggests that at least some investors are planning for a hard fork or a rival PoW chain.


According to Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at investment firm VanEck, ether futures were also trading at a premium of $1,905 on the CME platform, "indicating predictions about a proof of work fork."


He said, "But that disparity is not so great as to suggest there is tremendous froth.