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Futures June 17, 1. India, Myanmar and other places will have heavy rainfall in the next three days. Affected by the monsoon trough, parts of western and northeastern India, Bangladesh, western and southern Myanmar, southwestern Thailand and other places will have heavy to torrential rain. Among them, Gujarat, India, Rakhine State, Myanmar and other places will have heavy rain, accompanied by short-term heavy precipitation, thunderstorms and strong convective weather such as gale. 2. High temperature weather in Central Asia, West Asia, southwestern United States and other places will continue for the next three days. Parts of Central Asia, West Asia, most of North Africa, central and southern Portugal, eastern and southern Spain, southwestern United States, northern Mexico and other places will have high temperature weather above 35℃. Among them, the highest temperature in southern Kazakhstan, western Uzbekistan, western Turkmenistan, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman, Iran, southern Afghanistan, central and southern Pakistan, northwestern India and other places will exceed 40℃, and local temperatures may reach above 45℃. 3. There will be precipitation, strong winds and cooling weather in central and northern Europe. In the next three days, affected by the low vortex, Northern Europe, most of Eastern Europe and eastern Central Europe will have light to moderate rain, with heavy rain in some areas; most of central and northern Europe will have a temperature drop of 4 to 6℃, accompanied by 4 to 5 winds, with gusts of 7 to 8.Goldman Sachs: We still expect an oversupply of LNG in the market, causing natural gas storage levels in northwestern Europe to approach capacity limits in the summer of 2027.Goldman Sachs continues to raise its forecasts for Egypts LNG imports to reflect its structural market gap.French President Macron: The United States has proposed a meeting with Iran, and subsequent developments remain to be seen.On June 17, spot gold rose above the $3,400 mark in early trading. A few minutes after Trump called on everyone to evacuate the Iranian capital, Tehran, multiple explosions occurred in Tehran and the air defense system was activated to intercept the target.

Application of fundamental analysis

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

what is fundamental anaylsis?

Fundamental analysis is conducted mainly through analysing economic, social, and political factors that influence the market demand and supply. Investors who rely on fundamental analysis must find out the various factors that affect the economy, such as those that will boost the economy to grow rapidly, and those that will drive it down.

This method of analysis is based on the assumption that a country's currency will be strong when its economic outlook is good. The reason is that the better a country's economic conditions, the more foreign companies and investors will be willing to invest in the country, and they need to buy a large amount of local currency to acquire assets.

Application of  fundamental anaylsis?

A variety of fundamental changes will influence currency pairs. Out of these changes, interest rate expectations tend to have the biggest impact on the strength of a country's currency, and investors can trade accordingly.

If a country's released inflation data keeps surpassing the central bank's target, the central bank will influence the local currency according to its own inflation target by raising or lowering interest rates.


Usually, the central bank will raise interest rates to reduce the amount of money in circulation and curb inflation. If the central bank wishes to increase the amount of money in circulation, it may do so by lowering interest rates. Generally, as the difference between a high-interest currency with a low-interest currency widens, hot money will tend to flow into the high-interest money market, driving the demand for money higher. This is one of the reasons for the rise in medium-term and long-term exchange rates, and investors may capture these opportunities to 


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