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On January 12th, Jefferies Research reported that its preview of Bilibilis (09626.HK) Q4 2025 results is in line with the banks forecasts, with total revenue expected to remain unchanged at approximately 5% year-on-year, reaching RMB 8.1 billion. Jefferies maintains its "Buy" rating on Bilibilis (BILI.O) US-listed shares at US$34 and its Hong Kong-listed shares at HK$267. By business segment, the bank expects mobile game revenue to increase by 1% quarter-on-quarter but decrease by 15% year-on-year to RMB 1.52 billion (accounting for 20% of total revenue); online advertising revenue is expected to increase by 21% year-on-year to RMB 2.9 billion (accounting for 36% of total revenue), primarily driven by several growth factors, including daily active users, traffic, and revenue per thousand impressions (rMI). The report also noted the success of "Escape from Dwarkov" in the gaming sector, highlighting the companys strategy of focusing on leading positions in vertical categories, long-term product operation, and targeting the younger generation. According to the banks 2026 outlook report, artificial intelligence is predicted to be a key area, while the entertainment industry is favored due to its defensive nature.On January 12th, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) reported the following data on energy and chemical warehouse receipts and changes: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 130,363 tons, an increase of 5,874 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 12,000 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 2,040 tons, an increase of 40 tons compared to the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day. The previous trading day saw no change; 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts totaled 16,160 tons, an increase of 2,420 tons compared to the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts totaled 16,660 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts totaled 3,464,000 barrels, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts totaled 22,760 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts totaled 0 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day.January 12th - It was learned today that the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) has officially released the international standard "Tribological properties of bearing materials for sliding bearings - Part 1: Testing of bearing alloys". This standard was led by my country, with experts from seven countries including Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Austria participating in its development.On January 12th, Jefferies released a research report stating that it expects Lao Pu Gold (06181.HK) to achieve a net profit of RMB 2.3 billion in the second half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 155%, with sales reaching RMB 15.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 207%. Jefferies lowered its net profit forecasts for Lao Pu Gold for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 14%, 6%, and 12% respectively, to reflect lower gross margins due to high gold prices and a return to normal growth in 2027. The bank lowered its target price for Lao Pu Gold from HKD 1,103 to HKD 981, corresponding to projected P/E ratios of 22x and 17x for 2026 and 2027 respectively. Despite profit margin pressures, Jefferies expects Lao Pu Gold to recover this year and reiterated its buy rating. Jefferies predicts that Lao Pu Gold will achieve a net profit of RMB 2.3 billion in the second half of 2025, with projected sales of RMB 13 billion in the mainland China market, a year-on-year increase of 188%; average sales per store are expected to increase by 130% year-on-year. Regarding overseas markets, overseas sales are projected to reach RMB 2.2 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 295%. The gross profit margin is expected to be 36.4% during the period, compared to 38.1% in the first half of the year.US Ambassador to India: We will speak again next Tuesday about trade issues.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

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Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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